Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 6.546161 7.632570 8.807391 10.167861 11.695375 13.352914 15.282874
2025-11-30 5.031216 6.466008 8.138361 10.214512 12.704530 15.576108 19.118043
2025-12-07 4.115726 5.709071 7.676773 10.250439 13.489497 17.390520 22.399500
2025-12-14 3.503238 5.189795 7.377473 10.365667 14.276851 19.153530 25.616224
2025-12-21 3.001434 4.724478 7.061762 10.380452 14.876428 20.652839 28.516969
2025-12-28 2.693951 4.474818 6.987182 10.675639 15.820811 22.599404 32.036213
2026-01-04 2.412309 4.219089 6.864663 10.871827 16.614286 24.354883 35.350146
2026-01-11 2.134917 3.929931 6.656074 10.911854 17.169632 25.789198 38.266047
2026-01-18 1.816669 3.531980 6.239636 10.601596 17.187568 26.460937 40.141843
2026-01-25 1.562505 3.204404 5.894660 10.360259 17.272573 27.206603 42.121408
2026-02-01 1.339020 2.898342 5.550353 10.084245 17.274368 27.813473 43.904296
2026-02-08 1.151557 2.630422 5.239813 9.830662 17.282630 28.412582 45.676846
2026-02-15 0.973097 2.355573 4.892353 9.491957 17.140791 28.787470 47.147677
2026-02-22 0.875859 2.226997 4.788975 9.551359 17.628889 30.122244 50.075044
2026-03-01 0.786900 2.102032 4.678381 9.585966 18.071187 31.394680 52.940365
2026-03-08 0.717160 2.007760 4.614820 9.695083 18.635710 32.869462 56.149829
2026-03-15 0.644456 1.895470 4.504554 9.709083 19.035221 34.091785 59.000995
2026-03-22 0.606598 1.858601 4.539089 9.988617 19.896812 36.073145 63.079655
2026-03-29 0.562926 1.800982 4.525384 10.174445 20.600367 37.818151 66.831394
2026-04-05 0.510308 1.712433 4.438345 10.212362 21.041563 39.145374 69.953842
2026-04-12 0.436948 1.556439 4.190898 9.918493 20.871707 39.454090 71.452082
2026-04-19 0.377545 1.426391 3.985372 9.689964 20.803174 39.920857 73.207526
2026-04-26 0.323374 1.299704 3.772656 9.428665 20.656209 40.242798 74.726634